Trade Review - CSCO - May, 16


Stock Selection Information


Cisco (CSCO) is now up 9.4% premarket following last night's earnings and guidance. Lazard's Ryan Hitchinson notes guidance was light, but likely beat a lot of the whispers out there. He also believes management is remaining conservative amid improving demand trends. A bellwether no more, Cisco's moonshot is having little effect on the [[QQQ]]s, which are barely green at the moment.




Watch List Reason - pre-market mover. Not in trading idea sheet. Added after 9:00
Pre-Market Volume - 38.39%
Trading Plan - To go long above 22.00

Management

Entry Setup used: Fail to break down support.


Trading Comments

Tape reading helped a lot to get in at this trade. At the level the bids were being hit and there was a lot of volume done, but the prices were not dropping. Bids were holding and a lot of buying. So I got long at 23.48.
When it broke above the 23.50 level momentum up was strong. Around 23.75 momentum start to dry of, also identified from the tape, so I closed the position.

Evaluation

It was a great trade and very well executed. I did not see other reasons to get in after that and do not regret the exit. First 30 minutes of the day is for momentum trades. When momentum is done (the reason why I got in the trade), I must exit.
I could´ve added to the position when it broke above .50 level. This is the only thing I need to learn how to do in this momentum based strategies. To go "all-in" cause usually they are good trades. In that scenario holding some stocks for next up leg momentum might be possible. 

Daily PM Prep - May, 16

** Preparation for Closing Session **

MARKET CONDITIONS



SPY - No changes from morning overview. Market is neutral on a sideways move. The smaller range is the trading range expected for today: 166.50 and 164.50. There is one intermediary support at 165.50.
Bias: Neutral Bullish
Accuracy: 80%

PM Stock Selection Sheet download - market is slow today. Take on the best trade setups.
Updated at 13:40


Want more information about the Stock Selection Sheet?
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Read this before using the information provided in this page:
1.Educational purpose material only. Use this information at your own risk. 2.Stocks may be added to the selection sheet at any time. They are used as a guide to select which stocks I will trade and set alerts . It does not mean that I follow all of them, that would be crazy.3.The Accuracy information is for my own use only. It is reviewed after I am done trading. This is just a way for me to measure how is my reading of the market and my confidence in it. I suggest you develop your own way to do this.4.The afternoon sheet will be updated between 13:00 and 14:00

Daily AM Prep - May, 16

** Preparation for Morning Session**

MARKET CONDITIONS

World Markets News: Asian markets finished mixed as of the most recent closing prices. European markets are mixed today. Core CPI, CPI and Initial Jobless Claims to be released before market opens. Since market is strong, bad numbers should not affect it that much. 

Economic Calendar



SPY - The target for the up move from the break of the previous range has been tested and sellers held. If big volume come in, breaks above and hold, market is very bullish. I believe prices today will be neutral, trading around 166.5 and 164.50. Next couple days we will test the 163.25 area and the point of control. This would be healthy for the market. The only bearish signal is the break down of the bottom of the long term up channel and this move probably will turn into a sideways market before turn bearish.
Bias: Neutral Bullish
Accuracy: 100%

AM Stock Selection Sheet download - not too many stocks to watch to day. Market is likely to be slow.
Updated at 8:15


Want more information about the Stock Selection Sheet?
Legends - Click me
Read this before using the information provided in this page:
1.Educational purpose material only. Use this information at your own risk.2.Stocks may be added to the selection sheet at any time. They are used as a guide to select which stocks I will trade and set alerts . It does not mean that I follow all of them, that would be crazy.3.The Accuracy information is for my own use only. It is reviewed after I am done trading. This is just a way for me to measure how is my reading of the market and my confidence in it. I suggest you develop your own way to do this.4.The morning sheet will be updated between 8:00 and 9:00