Trade Review - MDVN - May, 10

Stock Selection Information

Goldman Sachs Reiterates Buy Medivation Ahead of Q1:13 Earnings Report

Benzinga's Top Initiations





Watch List Reason - am vol - it was an idea from the morning sheet. Stock had good volume, greater than it´s normal average, so it was in my list.
Pre-Market Volume - N/A
Trading Plan - To short the stock if it breaks the counter trend from midday. 

Management

Entry Setup used: Counter trend break down - target the VWAP


Trading Comments

Stock made a strong down move in the morning and consolidates (sellers in control). During midday it moves in the opposite direction (the counter trend). When it breaks midday trend line up, look for short position. First it consolidated below the trend line, I got in, but got stopped out. Then a divergence in CCI suggested another entry with good risk / reward. I try adding to the position at 51.30 (no trade was conducted at this price during the consolidation), but my offer did not get taken. When prices fail to continue down close to 51.00 I closed the position.

Evaluation

My worst mistake was not to add to the position. I tried but my offer did not get taken. Also the target was in the VWAP. If I have manage to add to position I would close partially at 51.06 and hold the core position for the final target at 50.70s / 50.60s. Still it was a great trade.
Must keep in mind that the first trade in the stock was an aggressive one. This would be a better choice if the market was weak, but since it was strong a more conservative approach would´ve been better.

Daily PM Prep - May, 10


** Preparation for Closing Session **

MARKET CONDITIONS



SPY - Market is providing a very clean read. After failing to break up and breaking the shorter 5 minute channel, the expected correction is coming. This correction is likely to find support at 160.50 cause it is a confluence zone. If gets there, watch to see how price behaves. Since it is Friday, not much is expected for this afternoon. As long it is respecting the up channel, the bias overall is bullish.
Bias: Neutral with a correction (overall bullish)
Accuracy: 

PM Stock Selection Sheet download
Updated at 13:00


Want more information about the Stock Selection Sheet?
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Read this before using the information provided in this page:
1.Educational purpose material only. Use this information at your own risk. 2.Stocks may be added to the selection sheet at any time. They are used as a guide to select which stocks I will trade and set alerts . It does not mean that I follow all of them, that would be crazy.3.The Accuracy information is for my own use only. It is reviewed after I am done trading. This is just a way for me to measure how is my reading of the market and my confidence in it. I suggest you develop your own way to do this.4.The afternoon sheet will be updated between 13:00 and 14:00

Daily AM Prep - May, 10


** Preparation for Morning Session**

MARKET CONDITIONS

World Markets News: Asian markets finished broadly higher today with shares in Japan leading the region.European markets are higher today with shares in France leading the region. Germany is also up, confirming the good expectation.Fed Chairman Bernanke speaks at 9:30, right on the open. This may increase volatility.

Economic Calendar



SPY - Still in trend mode, but showing signs that it is tired from going up and needs to rest. Yesterday we tested the base of the shorter up channel, but did not break below it. In case of a correction the 160.50 is now the confluence zone we expect the market to hold. World markets are green and despite the fact a correction is expected, the overall market is strong. The only thing that would change our bias is if the base of the longer channel was broken down, but prices are far from there.
Bias: Bullish to Neutral
Accuracy: 100%

AM Stock Selection Sheet download - not much pre-market volume, but there are good trading opportunities.
Updated at 8:20


Want more information about the Stock Selection Sheet?
Legends - Click me
Read this before using the information provided in this page:
1.Educational purpose material only. Use this information at your own risk.2.Stocks may be added to the selection sheet at any time. They are used as a guide to select which stocks I will trade and set alerts . It does not mean that I follow all of them, that would be crazy.3.The Accuracy information is for my own use only. It is reviewed after I am done trading. This is just a way for me to measure how is my reading of the market and my confidence in it. I suggest you develop your own way to do this.4.The morning sheet will be updated between 8:00 and 9:00