Trade Review - EMC - May, 30

Stock Selection Information


  • EMC increases the size of its buyback program to $6B (authorized over three years to December 2015) and says it plans to repurchase $3.5B worth of common stock by the end of FQ2 2014. The company also initiates a quarterly dividend of $0.10/share and says it plans to alter its capital structure to include more debt while still "maintaining a strong investment-grade profile." (PR)




Watch List Reason - News on the stock
Pre-Market Volume - 10%
Trading Plan - To go long above 24.25 - 

Management

Entry Setup used: big seller stepping lower


Trading Comments

Tape reading was the key here. The initial plan was to go long on the stock, but at the open there was a huge seller on the box, offering 1.500.000 shares at 25.05. So I opened a short position in front of him. It did not take long for the trade to develop. At the 24.75 level some buying took place so I closed the position. The initial plan was to just take profits on a 100 shares at this level and hold a core, but I messed up execution. When it spiked up the plan was to add, but since I had closed the position I short it again. When the 24.75 level dropped again, I planned to add to position, but my offer did not get taken. Close it when it stop moving down.
On the way up the 24.92 level was holding prices, but market was moving up and the sellers were not strong to hold prices down. When the bids lift to 24.93 a long position was opened for a scalp, expecting the 25.05 to defend the level, but he was not there anymore.
When it got to the pre-market highs sellers came back I tried a short position but got stopped out on the spike up. Too bad, cause prices drop after that.

Evaluation

My first mistake was to close the position at the 24.75 level. That was not my plan, but I hit the wrong button when executing the trade. I manage to get back in, but failed to add when my offer did not get taken and prices dropped.
Also on the way up, the long position was strong and I should´ve held it when I saw that the seller was not at the 25.05 add to the position.
At the pre-market high i should´ve shorted it again at the 25.23 level. Too bad I did not.
Even with these mistakes, I had the trade under control at all times and it was a very profitable one. 

Daily PM Prep - May, 05

** Preparation for Closing Session **

MARKET CONDITIONS


SPY - Not much has changed from the morning analysis. As expected market continued the up move an tested the 166.50 (166.44 = today´s high so far). This was one of the potential resistance levels pointed in the morning. Mostly likely scenario for this afternoon is the market to remain neutral trading between: 165.75 and 166.50 and respect the short term up channel that is formed. If the 166.50 is broken and market start to hold above, the bias will change to bullish. If it start trading below 165.50 it would be a bearish alert, confirmed by the market making a new low for today with consequences into tomorrow´s session. Not much is expected for this afternoon.

Long Term Bias: Neutral
Short Term Bias: Neutral Bullish
Accuracy: 100%

PM Stock Selection Sheet download 
Updated at 13:20


Want more information about the Stock Selection Sheet?
Legends - Click me
Read this before using the information provided in this page:
1.Educational purpose material only. Use this information at your own risk. 2.Stocks may be added to the selection sheet at any time. They are used as a guide to select which stocks I will trade and set alerts . It does not mean that I follow all of them, that would be crazy.3.The Accuracy information is for my own use only. It is reviewed after I am done trading. This is just a way for me to measure how is my reading of the market and my confidence in it. I suggest you develop your own way to do this.4.The afternoon sheet will be updated between 13:00 and 14:00

Daily AM Prep - May, 30

** Preparation for Morning Session**

MARKET CONDITIONS

World Markets News: Asian markets finished broadly lower today with shares in Japan leading the region.European markets are mixed. To be released before market opens: GDP (QoQ) and Initial Jobless Claims.

Economic Calendar


SPY - Yesterday in the afternoon market broke a short term down trend inside this longer term range that is in formation, because of that our short term bias is bullish. This up move may find resistance at one of the following levels: 165.50, 166.50, 167.50 or 169.00 and could provide a clearer view of the range. Also this up move may define the type of day we will have today.
The 164.00 level is still a key level. If we break below this level, a confirmation of a Lower High suggests a more bearish formation for the overall market. At this point, since on a weekly chart we are up trending, this scenario is less likely.

Long Term Bias: Neutral
Short Term Bias: Neutral to Bullish
Accuracy: 100%

AM Stock Selection Sheet download
Updated at 8:15


Want more information about the Stock Selection Sheet?
Legends - Click me
Read this before using the information provided in this page:
1.Educational purpose material only. Use this information at your own risk.2.Stocks may be added to the selection sheet at any time. They are used as a guide to select which stocks I will trade and set alerts . It does not mean that I follow all of them, that would be crazy.3.The Accuracy information is for my own use only. It is reviewed after I am done trading. This is just a way for me to measure how is my reading of the market and my confidence in it. I suggest you develop your own way to do this.4.The morning sheet will be updated between 8:00 and 9:00